Meteorologists have indicated that the monsoon is likely to enter Nepal a few days earlier than the average date (June 13).
According to senior meteorologist Min Kumar Aryal from the Weather Forecasting Division, preliminary studies so far suggest that the monsoon may arrive before June 13 this time.
“However, this is just a prediction for now. To confirm its arrival, 80% of the criteria must be met,” meteorologist Aryal told Nepalkhabar on Sunday morning. “So, this is still under study.”
Nevertheless, since the monsoon arrived in Kerala, India, six days earlier than the average date of May 30—entering on May 24, it is estimated that the monsoon may also enter Nepal earlier than the usual date, he explained.
The Meteorological Department issued a statement on Sunday, stating, "The monsoon has arrived in some areas of the northwestern and most parts of the southwestern Bay of Bengal, as well as in regions around Kerala, India, the Maldives, and Sri Lanka. The monsoon is advancing from the Bay of Bengal toward the land areas."
The average date for the monsoon’s arrival in Nepal is June 13. However, the monsoon has not always entered on this exact date—sometimes it is 2-4 days late or early.
This time, however, there are signs that the monsoon may enter Nepal a few days earlier than the average date. But meteorologist Aryal said it is too early to confirm this with certainty.
Last year, the monsoon entered Nepal three days earlier than the average date, arriving on June 10. Currently, Nepal is experiencing the pre-monsoon season, which will end once the monsoon arrives.
According to meteorologists, the monsoon stays in Nepal for four months—June, July, August, and September. The average date for the monsoon’s withdrawal from Nepal is October 2, though this can vary by a few days.
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